Climate Uncertainty and Risk. April 11, 2024

Speaker: Judith Curry

Dr. Judith Curry is President and co-founder of Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN).  She is Professor Emerita at the Georgia Institute of Technology, where she served as Chair of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences for 13 years. Her expertise is in climate dynamics, extreme weather, prediction/predictability, and risk science.Curry is a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society, the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and the American Geophysical Union.

Curry founded CFAN to translate cutting-edge weather and climate research into forecast products and services that support the management of weather and climate risk for public and private sector decision makers.  Curry is a leading global thinker on climate change. She is frequently called upon to give U.S. Congressional testimony and serve as an expert witness on matters related to weather and climate. Her influential blog Climate Etc. addresses challenging topics about climate change and the science-policy interface.

You can follow Judith Curry on X at @curryja.  She has a blog called “Climate Etc.” at  judithcurry.com.  You can find that “Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN)” at  www.cfanclimate.net .  You might purchase her recent book called “Climate Uncertainty and Risk.”  

Topic

The information available on climate change is plagued by large inherent uncertainties, which complicates policy-making. Apart from uncertainties about future emissions, the projections from global climate models are uncertain, as well as climate change impacts, economic costs, and policy responses. Additional uncertainties are associated with the technological, social, and political contexts surrounding the policy response options.

This talk will summarize a framework (presented in Judith Curry’s book Climate Uncertainty and Risk) for analyzing climate risks in all of their complexity and ambiguity, with the goal of formulating pragmatic and adaptable policies. Best practices from risk science and decision-making under deep uncertainty, with a focus on resilience and anti-fragility, lead to broader climate risk management frameworks that are politically viable and support human well-being, both now and in the future. This framework for formulating pragmatic solutions increases the range of policy options and enlarges the landscape for decision makers on issues surrounding climate change.